Matchup Intelligence
Data unavailable
VS
Hull City0.0%Power Loss
2 players out
+2 more
What the numbers say
The model favours Chelsea at 77%.
The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), from expected goals of 2.7 to 0.8.
Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 52%.
Their identities part on creativity: Chelsea 8th in the league, Hull City 20th of 20.
Expected shapes: Chelsea 3-4-2-1, Hull City 5-4-1.
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model over attack and defence strength plus home advantage. These sentences are rules over those numbers and claim nothing the model does not.
Chelsea · Style
Mostly 3-4-2-1. Strongest on attacking threat (6th) and creativity (8th); weakest on discipline, 18th of 20.
Hull City · Style
Mostly 5-4-1. Strongest on defensive solidity (1st) and discipline (10th); weakest on creativity, 20th of 20.
Predicted Lineups
Chelsea
Formation: 3-4-2-1