SquadCheck
Premier League analysis — predictions, xG, form & availability
20 clubs
Injury Watch
No current injuries
How to read these numbers
- Power Loss %: how SquadCheck prices an absenceWhat the Power Loss figure on every team page measures, how each player’s share of it is worked out, and what it cannot tell you.
- “When is he back?” How SquadCheck reads return datesThe official feed gives a return date for about one absence in four. How SquadCheck reads the rest, and why it will not invent a date.
- How the predicted lineups are builtWhy last week’s team is the benchmark every lineup prediction has to beat, and how SquadCheck adjusts it for injuries, suspensions and formation.
- How the match predictions are madeThe whole model in one page: goals in, a prior that keeps four matches from deciding a season, two Poissons out — and how it scores against the bookmakers.
- Player ratings and squad values: what the numbers are, and are notHow the 0–10 player rating is built from the league’s own match scoring, why early-season ratings are pulled toward average, and the formula behind every estimated value.
- Where SquadCheck’s data comes fromThe official feeds behind every page, how often they are read, how expected goals are put together, and what the free data does not include.