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Matchweek 16Monday, 21 December 2026 · 20:00 GMT

Match Prediction

Match Prediction

Chelsea66%
Draw17%
Aston Villa17%
Expected goals2.74 – 1.37
Likeliest score2–1(8%)
Expected points2.15 – 0.68
GoalsO2.5 78% · BTTS 70%

Model estimate from results — not betting advice.

Match Preview

Recent form
Chelsea
LDLWW
Form 5510-8
Aston Villa
DLWDW
Form 597-6
Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Chelsea65d rest · 0 in 14 days
Aston Villa65d rest · 0 in 14 days

Injury Comparison

Chelsea
0.0%Power Loss
6
Players Out

Injury Outcome Impact

Low confidence
xG / Match
0.00→0.00
—
xGA / Match
0.00→0.00
—
Injuries
GU
Defender · Illness - 75% chance of playing · 10 Oct 2026
Start 3Sub 3G 0A 0
JA
JamesLowExtended absenceReturn signal 75%· 43d ago
Defender · Knee injury - Unknown return date · 12 Sept 2026
Start 3Sub 1G 0A 0
MA
MartinezModerate
Goalkeeper · Head injury - Unknown return date · 17 Oct 2026
Start 6Sub 0G 0A 0
CH
Defender · Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing · 10 Oct 2026
Start 2Sub 4G 0A 1
GI
GittensLowExtended absence
Midfielder · Ankle injury - Unknown return date · 18 Sept 2026
Start 0Sub 5G 0A 0
EM
EmeghaLowNo appearances yetImpact not rated
Attacker · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date · No appearance on record
Start 0Sub 0G 0A 0
Aston Villa
0.0%Power Loss
6
Players Out

Injury Outcome Impact

Low confidence
xG / Match
0.00→0.00
—
xGA / Match
0.00→0.00
—
Injuries
WA
Defender · Hamstring injury - Expected back 21 Nov · 17 Oct 2026
Start 3Sub 3G 0A 0
MA
MaatsenLowExtended absence
Defender · Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing · 12 Sept 2026
Start 4Sub 0G 0A 0
MA
Midfielder · Calf injury - 75% chance of playing · 17 Oct 2026
Start 3Sub 1G 2A 2
RU
Defender · Hamstring injury - Expected back 2 Jan · 10 Oct 2026
Start 2Sub 4G 0A 0
ON
OnanaLowNo appearances yet
Midfielder · Knee injury - Unknown return date · No appearance on record
Start 0Sub 0G 0A 0
GE
George HemmingsLowExtended absence
Midfielder · Knee injury - 75% chance of playing · 19 Sept 2026
Start 4Sub 1G 0A 0

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea
Formation: 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
GK
F
Fofana80%
CB
C
Colwill90%
CB
L
Lacroix90%
LWB
H
Hato84%
CM
C
Caicedo71%
CM
H
Henderson76%
RWB
N
Neto91%
AM
R
Rogers95%
AM
P
Palmer95%
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
GK
S
Suzuki91%
LB
P
Pau73%
CB
M
Mings82%
CB
L
Lindelöf95%
RB
C
Cash84%
DM
G
Gomes80%
DM
K
Kamara95%
LW
A
Alysson66%
AM
B
Buendía95%
RW
M
McGinn90%
ST
N
N.Jackson91%