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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 12:30 BST
Story of the match
Aston Villa beat Man City 2–1. Aston Villa made their chances count, scoring beyond their 0.6 xG while Man City's 1.6 xG went largely unrewarded. Our pre-match model missed this one — it gave the actual result only a 17% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
Aston VillaxGMan City
0.61–1.55
Actual2–1
Aston Villa got more than the xG deserved
Finishing (G − xG)+1.39·-0.55
Model callMan City(gave this result 17%)✗ missed
Match Preview
Recent form
Aston Villa
DLWDW
Form 597-6Man City
WWWWW
Form 10013-5Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Aston Villa7d rest · 2 in 14 days
Man City7d rest · 2 in 14 days
Match Events
No event data available.
Lineups
No lineup data available.
Statistics
Aston VillaMan City
36.1%
Possession
63.9%
8
Total Shots
15
2
On Target
7
0.61
xG
1.55
4
Corners
7
21
Fouls
17
1
Offsides
2
6
Saves
0
80.9%
Pass Accuracy
89.9%

