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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · 16:30 BSTReferee: Michael Oliver · 3 cards/game
Story of the match
Arsenal beat Nott'm Forest 1–0. Arsenal made their chances count, scoring beyond their 1.1 xG while Nott'm Forest's 0.9 xG went largely unrewarded. Our pre-match model had called it, giving the result a 49% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
Nott'm ForestxGArsenal
0.91–1.14
Actual0–1
Arsenal got more than the xG deserved
Finishing (G − xG)-0.91·-0.14
Model callArsenal(gave this result 49%)✓ correct
Match Preview
Recent form
Nott'm Forest
DDWLL
Form 305-7Arsenal
WWWLW
Form 777-5Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Nott'm Forest7d rest · 1 in 14 days
Arsenal8d rest · 1 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
14%
23%
63%
Nott'm Forest14%Draw23%Arsenal63%✓
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨17'
🔄45'
🟨53'
🔄66'
🔄66'
🔄66'
🔄73'
🔄74'
⚽80'
🔄85'
🔄85'
AWAY
▾ All Events
N.Williams
17'🟨
45'🔄
Eze↑ Madueke
53'🟨
Madueke
66'🔄
White↑ J.Timber
66'🔄
Bruno G.↑ Merino
66'🔄
Havertz↑ Gyökeres
Ndoye↑ Kalimuendo
73'🔄
Dominguez↑ I.Sangaré
74'🔄
80'⚽
MaduekeRice
Jair Cunha↑ Wood
85'🔄
McAtee↑ Hudson-Odoi
85'🔄
Lineups
Nott'm Forest
3-4-2-1
GMatz Sels
DJair Cunha↓
DOusmane Diomande
DMurillo
MDaniel Muñoz
MJames McAtee↓
MXaver Schlager
MNeco Williams
FNicolás Domínguez↓
FDan Ndoye↓
FLiam Delap
Bench
FArnaud Kalimuendo↑
DNikola Milenkovic
GJohn Victor
MRyan Yates
FChris Wood↑
MIbrahim Sangaré↑
DOla Aina
DLuca Netz
FCallum Hudson-Odoi↑
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
GDavid Raya
DBen White↓
DEzri Konsa
DGabriel Magalhães
DRiccardo Calafiori
MDeclan Rice
MBruno Guimarães↓
MBukayo Saka
MMartin Ødegaard
MEberechi Eze↓
FKai Havertz↓
Bench
MMikel Merino↑
FMax Dowman
DMyles Lewis-Skelly
DJurriën Timber↑
DCristhian Mosquera
FViktor Gyökeres↑
FNoni Madueke↑
MMartín Zubimendi
GIllan Meslier
Statistics
Nott'm ForestArsenal
26.2%
Possession
73.8%
14
Total Shots
9
2
On Target
1
0.91
xG
1.14
8
Corners
6
14
Fouls
8
2
Offsides
1
0
Saves
2
70.1%
Pass Accuracy
89.8%