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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · 14:00 BSTReferee: Darren England · 3.8 cards/game
Story of the match
Leeds and Man Utd drew 1–1. On expected goals it was Leeds 1.4, Man Utd 0.9 — the scoreline broadly matched the balance of chances. Our pre-match model missed this one — it gave the actual result only a 24% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
LeedsxGMan Utd
1.41–0.93
Actual1–1
Result reflected the xG
Finishing (G − xG)-0.41·+0.07
Model callLeeds(gave this result 24%)✗ missed
Match Preview
Recent form
Leeds
DDWDL
Form 377-5Man Utd
WDLDD
Form 369-7Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Leeds8d rest · 1 in 14 days
Man Utd8d rest · 1 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
38%
28%
34%
Leeds38%Draw28%✓Man Utd34%
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨17'
🟨19'
⚽35'
🔄45'
⚽51'
🔄74'
🔄74'
🔄81'
🔄84'
🟨90+2'
🟨90+2'
AWAY
▾ All Events
17'🟨
B.Fernandes
Gudmundsson
19'🟨
35'⚽
MbeumoTielemans
45'🔄
Martinez↑ Mazraoui
Calvert-LewinMuharemović
51'⚽
Okafor↑ Nmecha
74'🔄
74'🔄
Baleba↑ Mount
Tanaka↑ Longstaff
81'🔄
84'🔄
Tielemans↑ Cunha
90+2'🟨
Andrey Santos
Ampadu
90+2'🟨
Lineups
Leeds
3-4-2-1
GJames Trafford
DJames Justin
DNico Elvedi
DTarik Muharemovic
MJayden Bogle
MEthan Ampadu
MAo Tanaka↓
MGabriel Gudmundsson
FAnton Stach
FNoah Okafor↓
FDominic Calvert-Lewin
Bench
FLukas Nmecha↑
MIlia Gruev
DMelvin Bard
MBrenden Aaronson
DJaka Bijol
MSean Longstaff↑
FJean-Mattéo Bahoya
GMichael Zetterer
FHarry Wilson
Man Utd
4-2-3-1
GSenne Lammens
DLeny Yoro
DHarry Maguire
DLisandro Martínez↓
DDiogo Dalot
MAndrey Santos
MCarlos Baleba↓
MAmad Diallo
MYouri Tielemans↓
MBruno Fernandes
FBryan Mbeumo
Bench
GKarl Darlow
MMason Mount↑
FMarcus Rashford
FMatheus Cunha↑
FJoshua Zirkzee
DNoussair Mazraoui↑
FShea Lacey
DMatthijs de Ligt
DHarry Amass
Statistics
LeedsMan Utd
61.3%
Possession
38.7%
12
Total Shots
13
5
On Target
3
1.41
xG
0.93
2
Corners
3
16
Fouls
5
2
Offsides
3
2
Saves
3
83.6%
Pass Accuracy
74.2%