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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 12:30 BSTReferee: Paul Tierney · 4.3 cards/game
Story of the match
Chelsea beat Everton 2–0. On expected goals it was Everton 0.4, Chelsea 1.5 — the scoreline broadly matched the balance of chances. Our pre-match model missed this one — it gave the actual result only a 28% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
EvertonxGChelsea
0.43–1.47
Actual0–2
Result reflected the xG
Finishing (G − xG)-0.43·+0.53
Model callEverton(gave this result 28%)✗ missed
Match Preview
Recent form
Everton
DDDWD
Form 496-5Chelsea
WLDLW
Form 4812-11Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Everton6d rest · 1 in 14 days
Chelsea7d rest · 1 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
33%
27%
40%
Everton33%Draw27%Chelsea40%✓
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨23'
🟨27'
🟨32'
🟨34'
🟨34'
⚽46'
🔄55'
🟨65'
🔄75'
🔄85'
🔄85'
🟨89'
🔄90+2'
🔄90+2'
🔄90+2'
🔄90+12'
⚽90'
AWAY
▾ All Events
Armstrong
23'🟨
27'🟨
Neto
32'🟨
Acheampong
34'🟨
Rogers
Tarkowski
34'🟨
46'⚽
Neto
Maitland-Niles↑ George
55'🔄
65'🟨
Palmer
75'🔄
Martinez↑ Penders
Armstrong↑ Nørgaard
85'🔄
Grealish↑ Johnson
85'🔄
Nørgaard
89'🟨
90+2'🔄
Hato↑ Palestra
90+2'🔄
João Pedro↑ Welbeck
90+2'🔄
Caicedo↑ Lavia
90+12'🔄
Neto↑ Quenda
90'⚽
Neto
Lineups
Everton
4-2-3-1
GJordan Pickford
DAinsley Maitland-Niles↓
DJames Tarkowski
DJarrad Branthwaite
DVitalii Mykolenko
MHarrison Armstrong↓
MJames Garner
MMerlin Röhl
MKiernan Dewsbury-Hall
MJack Grealish↓
FThierno Barry
Bench
MHayden Hackney
FBrennan Johnson↑
DJake O'Brien
MCharly Alcaraz
FBraiden Graham
FTyler Dibling
MChristian Nørgaard↑
FTyrique George↑
GMark Travers
Chelsea
4-2-3-1
GEmiliano Martínez↓
DJosh Acheampong
DMaxence Lacroix
DLevi Colwill
DJorrel Hato↓
MMoisés Caicedo↓
MJordan Henderson
MPedro Neto↓
MCole Palmer
MMorgan Rogers
FJoão Pedro↓
Bench
MValentín Barco
FEstêvão
FDanny Welbeck↑
DMarco Palestra↑
DWesley Fofana
GMike Penders↑
MMahdi Nicoll-Jazuli
MGeovany Quenda↑
MRoméo Lavia↑
Statistics
EvertonChelsea
47.2%
Possession
52.8%
6
Total Shots
18
5
On Target
7
0.43
xG
1.47
5
Corners
7
8
Fouls
15
4
Offsides
1
4
Saves
5
80.3%
Pass Accuracy
84.6%