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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 16:30 BSTReferee: Chris Kavanagh · 5.6 cards/game
Story of the match
Man City beat Liverpool 3–0. Man City made their chances count, scoring beyond their 1.3 xG while Liverpool's 0.9 xG went largely unrewarded. Our pre-match model had called it, giving the result a 41% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
LiverpoolxGMan City
0.95–1.28
Actual0–3
Man City got more than the xG deserved
Finishing (G − xG)-0.95·+1.72
Model callMan City(gave this result 41%)✓ correct
Match Preview
Recent form
Liverpool
DDWDW
Form 647-4Man City
WWWWW
Form 10013-5Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Liverpool21d rest · 0 in 14 days
Man City21d rest · 0 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
28%
26%
46%
Liverpool28%Draw26%Man City46%✓
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨8'
🟨47'
🔄56'
🟨58'
🟥62'
⚽65'
🔄66'
🔄66'
⚽68'
🔄75'
🔄75'
⚽78'
🔄80'
🔄80'
🟨86'
🔄88'
🔄88'
🟨90+1'
AWAY
▾ All Events
Araujo
8'🟨
Gravenberch
47'🟨
56'🔄
Ndiaye↑ Doku
58'🟨
O'Reilly
Gravenberch
62'🟥
65'⚽
Haaland
Wirtz↑ Nyoni
66'🔄
66'🔄
O'Reilly↑ Gvardiol
68'⚽
DokuAnderson
Araujo↑ Frimpong
75'🔄
Koumas↑ Ngumoha
75'🔄
78'⚽
CherkiGvardiol
80'🔄
Enzo↑ Bouaddi
80'🔄
Haaland↑ Allan
86'🟨
Bouaddi
Barcola↑ Chiesa
88'🔄
Jacquet↑ Gomez
88'🔄
Virgil
90+1'🟨
Lineups
Liverpool
4-2-3-1
GAlisson Becker
DRonald Araujo↓
DJérémy Jacquet↓
DVirgil van Dijk
DMilos Kerkez
MRyan Gravenberch
MAlexis Mac Allister
MVíctor Muñoz
MFlorian Wirtz↓
MBradley Barcola↓
FLewis Koumas↓
Bench
DJoe Gomez↑
MTrey Nyoni↑
MWataru Endo
FRio Ngumoha↑
DJeremie Frimpong↑
MJames McConnell
GGiorgi Mamardashvili
FFederico Chiesa↑
DKostas Tsimikas
Man City
4-2-3-1
GGianluigi Donnarumma
DMatheus Nunes
DRúben Dias
DMarc Guéhi
DNico O'Reilly↓
MElliot Anderson
MEnzo Fernández↓
MIliman Ndiaye↓
MRayan Cherki
MAntoine Semenyo
FErling Haaland↓
Bench
GGerónimo Rulli
MAyyoub Bouaddi↑
MMateo Kovacic
DJosko Gvardiol↑
FAllan↑
DRico Lewis
FJérémy Doku↑
DVitor Reis
DAbdukodir Khusanov
Statistics
LiverpoolMan City
35.4%
Possession
64.6%
13
Total Shots
15
6
On Target
4
0.95
xG
1.28
5
Corners
6
19
Fouls
14
2
Offsides
2
1
Saves
6
80.4%
Pass Accuracy
88.7%