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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 14:00 BSTReferee: Peter Bankes · 4 cards/game
Story of the match
Crystal Palace beat Nott'm Forest 3–1. Crystal Palace made their chances count, scoring beyond their 2.6 xG while Nott'm Forest's 3.3 xG went largely unrewarded. Our pre-match model missed this one — it gave the actual result only a 35% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
Crystal PalacexGNott'm Forest
2.59–3.34
Actual3–1
Crystal Palace got more than the xG deserved
Finishing (G − xG)+0.41·-2.34
Model callNott'm Forest(gave this result 35%)✗ missed
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
34%
28%
38%
Crystal Palace34%✓Draw28%Nott'm Forest38%
Match Events
HOME
90'
⚽3'
🟨16'
⚽41'
⚽45+4'
⚽59'
🟨60'
🔄66'
🔄72'
🔄72'
🔄72'
🟨73'
🔄83'
🔄83'
🔄83'
🟨90+4'
🔄90'
AWAY
▾ All Events
3'⚽
Ndoye
Lerma
16'🟨
KamadaTimber
41'⚽
LermaWharton
45+4'⚽
Yeremy
59'⚽
Yeremy
60'🟨
66'🔄
Schlager↑ I.Sangaré
72'🔄
Delap↑ Wood
72'🔄
Ndoye↑ Hudson-Odoi
Lerma↑ Ahanor
72'🔄
73'🟨
Aina
Strand Larsen↑ Nketiah
83'🔄
83'🔄
Aina↑ Kalimuendo
Yeremy↑ Sarr
83'🔄
90+4'🟨
Murillo
Kamada↑ McNeil
90'🔄
Lineups
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1
GWalter Benítez
DJefferson Lerma↓
DChris Richards
DJaydee Canvot
MAnan Khalaili
MAdam Wharton
MQuinten Timber
MTyrick Mitchell
FDaichi Kamada↓
FYéremy Pino↓
FJørgen Strand Larsen↓
Bench
FEvann Guessand
DHonest Ahanor↑
FEddie Nketiah↑
GRemi Matthews
MCheick Doucouré
FIsmaïla Sarr↑
DÓscar Mingueza
MWill Hughes
FDwight McNeil↑
Nott'm Forest
3-4-2-1
GMatz Sels
DOla Aina↓
DOusmane Diomande
DMurillo
MDaniel Muñoz
MXaver Schlager↓
MJames McAtee
MNeco Williams
FMorgan Gibbs-White
FDan Ndoye↓
FLiam Delap↓
Bench
DLuca Netz
FChris Wood↑
MRyan Yates
MIbrahim Sangaré↑
FCallum Hudson-Odoi↑
FArnaud Kalimuendo↑
GJohn Victor
MNicolás Domínguez
DJair Cunha
Statistics
Crystal PalaceNott'm Forest
43.4%
Possession
56.6%
13
Total Shots
24
7
On Target
6
2.59
xG
3.34
5
Corners
8
11
Fouls
10
2
Offsides
1
4
Saves
4
74.8%
Pass Accuracy
81.7%