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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · 15:00 BSTReferee: Craig Pawson · 5.5 cards/game
Story of the match
Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2. Brentford made their chances count, scoring beyond their 1.1 xG while Aston Villa's 2.3 xG went largely unrewarded. Our pre-match model missed this one — it gave the actual result only a 21% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
Aston VillaxGBrentford
2.33–1.07
Actual2–2
Brentford got more than the xG deserved
Finishing (G − xG)-0.33·+0.93
Model callBrentford(gave this result 21%)✗ missed
Match Preview
Recent form
Aston Villa
LLDLW
Form 334-9Brentford
WDDDW
Form 6110-4Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Aston Villa21d rest · 0 in 14 days
Brentford22d rest · 0 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
37%
26%
36%
Aston Villa37%Draw26%✓Brentford36%
Match Events
HOME
90'
⚽10'
⚽12'
🟨35'
🟨45+3'
🔄45'
🔄45'
🔄52'
🔄64'
🔄67'
🔄67'
🟨72'
🟨75'
⚽77'
⚽79'
🟨82'
🟨84'
🔄85'
🔄86'
🔄86'
🟨90+5'
🟨90+5'
AWAY
▾ All Events
10'⚽
Yarmoliuk
N.Jackson
12'⚽
35'🟨
Thiago
Buendía
45+3'🟨
Ruggeri↑ Wan-Bissaka
45'🔄
45'🔄
Schuster↑ Hickey
52'🔄
Schade↑ M.Sangaré
Buendía↑ Mbaye
64'🔄
67'🔄
Lewis-Potter↑ O.Dango
67'🔄
Yarmoliuk↑ Jensen
Cash
72'🟨
75'🟨
Janelt
McGinnManzambi
77'⚽
79'⚽
AjerAnthony
82'🟨
Kayode
84'🟨
Ajer
85'🔄
Anthony↑ Wilson
Gomes↑ Barkley
86'🔄
Manzambi↑ Alysson
86'🔄
90+5'🟨
Wilson
90+5'🟨
Lineups
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
GZion Suzuki
DMatty Cash
DVictor Lindelöf
DTyrone Mings
DMatteo Ruggeri↓
MBoubacar Kamara
MJoão Gomes↓
MJohn McGinn
MEmiliano Buendía↓
MJohan Manzambi↓
FNicolas Jackson
Bench
FAlysson↑
FAlejandro Garnacho
FIbrahim Mbaye↑
GMarco Bizot
FTammy Abraham
DAaron Wan-Bissaka↑
DPau Torres
MLamare Bogarde
MRoss Barkley↑
Brentford
4-2-3-1
GCaoimhín Kelleher
DMichael Kayode
DJannik Schuster↓
DKristoffer Ajer
DEl Hadji Malick Diouf
MYehor Yarmoliuk↓
MVitaly Janelt
MJaidon Anthony↓
MKeane Lewis-Potter↓
MKevin Schade↓
FIgor Thiago
Bench
MMamadou Sangaré↑
DSepp van den Berg
FDango Ouattara↑
MFábio Carvalho
MMathias Jensen↑
DBenjamin Fredrick
GHákon Valdimarsson
DAaron Hickey↑
FCallum Wilson↑
Statistics
Aston VillaBrentford
52.1%
Possession
47.9%
20
Total Shots
14
7
On Target
4
2.33
xG
1.07
2
Corners
2
7
Fouls
24
1
Offsides
1
3
Saves
5
78.9%
Pass Accuracy
79.3%