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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · 12:30 BSTReferee: Paul Tierney · 4.3 cards/game
Story of the match
Arsenal beat Leeds 2–1. On expected goals it was Arsenal 2.3, Leeds 0.6 — the scoreline broadly matched the balance of chances. Our pre-match model had called it, giving the result a 39% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
ArsenalxGLeeds
2.32–0.63
Actual2–1
Result reflected the xG
Finishing (G − xG)-0.32·+0.37
Model callArsenal(gave this result 39%)✓ correct
Match Preview
Recent form
Arsenal
WWWWL
Form 738-4Leeds
WDDWD
Form 587-3Head-to-head
No recent meetings
Rest & congestion
Arsenal21d rest · 0 in 14 days
Leeds20d rest · 0 in 14 days
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
65%
21%
13%
Arsenal65%✓Draw21%Leeds13%
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨36'
🟨38'
🟨39'
⚽55'
🟨59'
⚽62'
🔄63'
🔄63'
🔄63'
⚽70'
🔄71'
🔄71'
🟨78'
🔄79'
🔄82'
🟨84'
🔄86'
🔄86'
🔄90'
AWAY
▾ All Events
36'🟨
Tanaka
38'🟨
Ampadu
39'🟨
55'⚽
JustinGudmundsson
59'🟨
Muharemović
CalafioriWhite
62'⚽
Havertz↑ Gyökeres
63'🔄
White↑ J.Timber
63'🔄
Lewis-Skelly↑ Bruno G.
63'🔄
Bruno G.Rice
70'⚽
71'🔄
Okafor↑ Aaronson
71'🔄
Tanaka↑ Wilson
78'🟨
Justin
79'🔄
Justin↑ Nmecha
Calafiori↑ Hincapie
82'🔄
Ødegaard
84'🟨
86'🔄
Bogle↑ Bahoya
86'🔄
Elvedi↑ Bijol
Ødegaard↑ Merino
90'🔄
Lineups
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
GDavid Raya
DBen White↓
DEzri Konsa
DGabriel Magalhães
DRiccardo Calafiori↓
MDeclan Rice
MMyles Lewis-Skelly↓
MBukayo Saka
MMartin Ødegaard↓
MNoni Madueke
FKai Havertz↓
Bench
FViktor Gyökeres↑
FMax Dowman
GKepa Arrizabalaga
MEberechi Eze
MMartín Zubimendi
MBruno Guimarães↑
DPiero Hincapié↑
MMikel Merino↑
DJurriën Timber↑
Leeds
3-4-2-1
GJames Trafford
DJames Justin↓
DNico Elvedi↓
DTarik Muharemovic
MJayden Bogle↓
MEthan Ampadu
MAo Tanaka↓
MGabriel Gudmundsson
FAnton Stach
FNoah Okafor↓
FDominic Calvert-Lewin
Bench
DMelvin Bard
MBrenden Aaronson↑
MIlia Gruev
FJean-Mattéo Bahoya↑
DJaka Bijol↑
FLukas Nmecha↑
GMichael Zetterer
FHarry Wilson↑
MSean Longstaff
Statistics
ArsenalLeeds
58.2%
Possession
41.8%
13
Total Shots
11
6
On Target
5
2.32
xG
0.63
2
Corners
4
12
Fouls
20
7
Offsides
4
4
Saves
4
85%
Pass Accuracy
78.2%