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Premier League / Fixtures / Match Result
Matchweek 5Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 14:00 BSTReferee: Michael Oliver · 3 cards/game
Story of the match
Liverpool beat Bournemouth 1–0. On expected goals it was Bournemouth 0.8, Liverpool 1.6 — the scoreline broadly matched the balance of chances. Our pre-match model had called it, giving the result a 42% chance.
Auto-generated from the match's xG, biggest chance and result — no editorial spin.
Post-Match Review
Post-Match Review
BournemouthxGLiverpool
0.80–1.65
Actual0–1
Result reflected the xG
Finishing (G − xG)-0.80·-0.65
Model callLiverpool(gave this result 42%)✓ correct
Market Verdict
De-vigged bookmaker closing odds — the market's pre-match view.
30%
26%
44%
Bournemouth30%Draw26%Liverpool44%✓
Match Events
HOME
90'
🟨46'
⚽57'
🟨58'
🔄71'
🔄71'
🔄72'
🔄72'
🔄75'
🔄75'
🔄75'
🔄75'
🔄75'
🔄75'
🟨81'
🔄81'
🔄81'
🔄81'
🔄81'
🔄88'
🔄88'
🔄88'
🔄88'
AWAY
▾ All Events
46'🟨
Szoboszlai
57'⚽
Isak
58'🟨
Isak
71'🔄
Nyoni
71'🔄
Wirtz
72'🔄
Munoz
72'🔄
Barcola
Cook
75'🔄
Smith
75'🔄
Brooks
75'🔄
Tavernier
75'🔄
Jebbison
75'🔄
Christie
75'🔄
Silva
81'🟨
81'🔄
Koumas
81'🔄
Isak
81'🔄
Gravenberch
81'🔄
Szoboszlai
Tóth.A
88'🔄
Rayan
88'🔄
Gannon-Doak
88'🔄
Adams
88'🔄
Lineups
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
GDjordje Petrovic
DAdam Smith↓
DJames Hill
DAntónio Silva
DAdrien Truffert
MTyler Adams↓
MAlex Scott
MRayan↓
MRyan Christie↓
MMarcus Tavernier↓
FEvanilson
Bench
MDavid Brooks
DJulio Soler
MJuanlu Sánchez
FDaniel Jebbison
DBafodé Diakité
MAlex Tóth
FBen Gannon-Doak
MLewis Cook
GMichele Di Gregorio
Liverpool
4-2-3-1
GAlisson Becker
DRonald Araujo
DJérémy Jacquet
DVirgil van Dijk
DMilos Kerkez
MDominik Szoboszlai↓
MAlexis Mac Allister
MCody Gakpo
MFlorian Wirtz↓
MBradley Barcola↓
FAlexander Isak↓
Bench
GGiorgi Mamardashvili
FVíctor Muñoz
DJeremie Frimpong
MTrey Nyoni
FRio Ngumoha
DJoe Gomez
DKostas Tsimikas
MRyan Gravenberch
FLewis Koumas
Statistics
BournemouthLiverpool
46.3%
Possession
53.7%
9
Total Shots
12
2
On Target
3
0.80
xG
1.65
3
Corners
3
11
Fouls
13
4
Offsides
2
2
Saves
2
77.8%
Pass Accuracy
81.6%